Dynamical extended range forecasting

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dynamical extended range forecasting

(Abbreviated DERF.) Forecasting the state of the atmosphere (using a numerical weather prediction model with observed initial conditions) beyond the range for which individual cyclonic-scale disturbances are predictable.

Although, in general, the useful information regarding cyclonic-scale disturbances has been lost in the extended range, the behavior of large-scale, lower-frequency phenomena may still be predictable.

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